Purported CIA Assessment Warns of Deepening Divisions in Israel Ahead of Elections

A purported classified CIA assessment warns that Israel faces growing political, economic and social strains ahead of its October 27 elections. The report raises concerns about the risk of severe internal unrest and institutional instability. It reportedly cites high military spending, rising living costs, repeated reserve mobilisations and tensions over military-service exemptions for ultra-Orthodox men. Many reservists have faced long periods away from work and family, increasing public resentment over unequal service obligations. The assessment also points to settler violence in the occupied West Bank, the psychological impact of prolonged fighting on returning veterans, and a continuing constitutional dispute involving Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government. Food prices, including fresh produce, are said to have risen sharply over the past two years.

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