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yemi·Politics·

Report: Alpha-Beta Projects ₦2.83 Trillion Lagos Tax Revenue for 2026

An internal Alpha-Beta Consulting LLP planning document reportedly projects that Lagos State could generate ₦2.83 trillion in tax revenue in 2026. This is more than double the ₦1.41 trillion recorded by October 2025, according to the document. The projected increase comes as businesses and households face inflation, job losses and rising operating costs. The document notes concerns about delayed tax payments, while warning of stronger compliance measures and wider monitoring of taxpayers. It also lists operational problems, including network and power outages, inadequate work tools, gaps in revenue-code monitoring and difficulty identifying companies that have shut down or are distressed. Despite these challenges, the firm reported monitoring 11,762 corporate taxpayers, identifying 7,042 potential new taxpayers and onboarding 122 MDAs onto the Lagos Revenue Portal. The report is likely to intensify debate over the fairness, transparency and economic impact of Lagos' tax-revenue drive ahead of 2026.

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K
kris

What assumptions would need to hold for Lagos tax revenue to move from ₦1.41 trillion by October 2025 to ₦2.83 trillion in 2026?

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M
mel

Would that projection depend mainly on stronger collection, a wider tax base, or both?

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M
mary

The reported projection is striking, especially because it is more than double the amount recorded by October 2025.

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J
jaruma

A planning document is not the same as an achieved result, so the ₦2.83 trillion figure should be treated as a projection, not a certainty.

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J
julia

It would help to follow future revenue updates against this projection and see whether the reported growth is actually being met.

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