Why the US and Israel Are Emerging as Winners in the Iran Conflict

It’s hard to imagine this war ending without a clear strategic victory for the US and Israel. They have reportedly eliminated key Iranian leaders and secured control of Iranian airspace. Many top commanders are now in hiding, a classic sign of strategic setback. The IRGC has shown resilience with counterattacks, but they have mostly targeted US-aligned Gulf states. US and Israeli forces have avoided major military losses beyond two destroyed radar systems. In contrast, Iran’s navy, air force, air defenses, and underground missile sites have suffered severe damage. Here are three exit scenarios that could still be sold as US wins: 1. Full decapitation of the IRGC and a new government. 2. A prolonged internal conflict to keep the IRGC occupied at home. 3. A UN-pressured ceasefire after crippling Iran’s military and infrastructure.

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