Nigeria Tops 50-Country List for Projected El Niño Heat Deaths
A Climate Impact Lab tracker estimates that Nigeria could record 56,100 additional heat-related deaths between October 2026 and March 2027, the highest projected toll among 50 listed countries. India is next, with an estimate of 55,200. These are model-based projections, not confirmed deaths, and may change as forecasts are updated. The estimates use temperature and mortality data to assess how extreme heat may affect different regions. El Niño can disrupt weather patterns and contribute to unusually high temperatures, drought or heavy rainfall, depending on the area. Older people, young children, outdoor workers and people without reliable access to water or cooling may face greater risks. Suggested measures for Nigeria include timely heat alerts, safe drinking water in public spaces, shade and rest breaks for outdoor workers, prepared health facilities, cooler schools and more urban trees. People should seek urgent medical help for signs of heatstroke.
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