Dickson and Kwankwaso’s 5-D Chess for a 2031 Presidential Ticket

Dickson appears to have formed the NDC not for the 2027 race, but to secure his Senate seat and set the stage for a joint Kwankwaso/Dickson presidential bid in 2031. Obi is being used as a placeholder until the party returns its focus north. Dickson has barred Obidients from contesting for NDC tickets and handed nominations to his former PDP loyalists. At the same time, Kwankwaso is consolidating his base up north and filling key roles with committed supporters. Together, they are centralizing campaign funds and party control. This long-term strategy sidelines Obi and positions the NDC for the north’s turn in 2031.

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