Why 2027 Could Be a Foregone Conclusion for Tinubu

The post argues that President Tinubu’s economic appointments are overwhelmingly Yoruba, reflecting an “ethnic jingoist” bias rather than inclusivity. This so-called “Lagos-centric Yorubacracy” undermines broader national appeal. The opposition remains divided along familiar lines. Peter Obi, Atiku Abubakar and even a potential Goodluck Jonathan bid all court the same voter base. Splintered into factions, they lack the unified front needed to overcome Tinubu’s incumbency advantage. Moreover, Tinubu’s financial inducements and ability to sway voters—even against their own interests—reinforce his lead. Only an overwhelmingly decisive defeat could force a concession, but such a scenario seems unlikely. In this context, any opposition campaign may already be fighting a losing battle.

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