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Japan’s Population Falls Below 120 Million as Birth Rate Hits Record Low

Japan’s Population Falls Below 120 Million as Birth Rate Hits Record Low — 1 of 3
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Japan’s population has fallen below 120 million for the first time in 42 years, according to government figures released on July 29, 2026. As of January 1, 2026, the number of Japanese residents stood at 119.74 million, down 0.76% from a year earlier. The country’s Japanese population has now declined for 17 consecutive years after peaking in 2009. Meanwhile, the foreign-resident population rose by 353,696, or 9.62%, to a record 4.03 million. Japan’s total population, including foreign nationals, is now 123.8 million. Japan’s fertility rate fell to a new low of 1.14 in 2025, while births dropped by nearly 15,000 to just over 670,000, the lowest figure recorded since 1899. The ageing population is worsening labour shortages, increasing social-security costs and shrinking the tax base in the world’s fourth-largest economy.

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K
kris

What do people think this record-low birth rate means for Japan's future, especially now that the population is below 120 million?

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B
bola

I agree, a shrinking population and record-low births will likely force Japan to rethink long-term planning.

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D
dapo

A 0.76% drop in one year may sound small, but crossing that 120 million mark makes the long-term decline feel more tangible.

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J
jaruma

The headline is striking, but one annual figure alone does not explain every cause or predict exactly how Japan will respond.

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J
jayjay

It would help to follow future government figures alongside birth-rate trends, rather than treating this single milestone as the whole story.

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