World Cup 2026: Why Argentina and Brazil Have the Easiest Paths to the Final

Argentina and Brazil look set to enjoy the most favourable draws in the 2026 World Cup. Both teams could avoid a top European heavyweight until the final, making their routes comparatively smooth. Argentina’s projected path begins with Cape Verde in the Round of 32, followed by either Australia or Egypt in the next round. A quarter-final against Ivory Coast would precede a potential semi-final showdown with Brazil. Brazil may open against Japan, then face Ivory Coast in the Round of 16 and tougher sides only in the latter knockout stages. On paper, neither side meets a European giant until the very end. By contrast, teams like France, Germany and Spain face a gauntlet of top-ranked opponents much earlier. Any slip by Argentina or Brazil on this route would rank as a major upset.

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