How Rising Insecurity Could Cost Tinubu His Second Term
Let’s break down simple political maths. Goodluck Jonathan didn’t lose in 2015 over the economy but because Boko Haram seized territory and Chibok happened under his watch. Nigerians looked at him and felt he couldn’t protect them. Now kidnappers have crossed into the South-West. Schools in Oyo, Ekiti and Kwara face attacks. Children are seized and traditional rulers killed. The same fear that ended Jonathan’s tenure is playing out in Tinubu’s backyard. Meanwhile, planned surveillance aircraft sit unused and the government’s response remains muted. They’re even negotiating with armed groups known to behead teachers. Security is the first duty of any government. If this wave of violence isn’t crushed quickly and visibly, the 2027 election could mirror 2015 for Tinubu.
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