If Revolution Erupts on June 12, Who Would Win—Government or Nigerians?

June 12 is Nigeria’s Democracy Day, and in 2026 mass protests broke out in Lagos, Abuja, Ibadan and other cities. Civil society groups, trade unions and youth movements led demonstrations against rising inflation, worsening insecurity and a wave of kidnappings under President Tinubu’s administration. This analysis weighs the government’s security forces against the size and resolve of adult Nigerians. Who would ultimately prevail if a revolution occurred? Share your thoughts.

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