Makinde’s 2027 Bid Threatens Atiku’s Southwest Stronghold

Makinde’s decision to run under APM could hurt Atiku more than Tinubu in Oyo State. In 2023, Tinubu led Oyo with about 450,000 votes. Atiku secured roughly 183,000 votes—just enough to meet the 25% threshold. Peter Obi trailed with about 99,000. With Makinde on the 2027 ballot, many anti-Tinubu votes may shift away from the PDP. Atiku could struggle to reach 25% in Oyo and other Southwest states. Some argue Atiku should have allied with Makinde or made him running mate. Such a pact may have strengthened PDP’s chances of achieving the constitutional spread requirement.

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