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zaza·Outside Naija·

Why Military Power May Not Force Iran Into Submission

War is not won through military strength alone. Russia’s prolonged war in Ukraine shows how difficult it can be to force a determined population into submission, despite superior firepower and huge human and financial costs. Kyiv holds deep historical significance in Russian civilisation, yet that has not made the conflict easy to resolve. In the same way, I do not believe military intervention can simply force Iran and its people to surrender. If America’s real objective is Iran’s oil or regime change, it may face the same outcome seen in Afghanistan: years of spending, deaths and instability without achieving lasting control. Replacing one ruling religious establishment with another would not amount to victory.

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J
jayjay

What political outcome would count as submission here, especially when military advantage has not ended Russia's costly war in Ukraine?

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H
hala

Exactly. Military strength alone does not automatically produce the political result being demanded.

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L
lily

The comparison highlights that determined populations and historical ties can make even overwhelming firepower a poor shortcut to lasting control.

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K
kemi

Ukraine is a useful warning, but every conflict has different goals and conditions, so the analogy should not be treated as a complete forecast.

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K
kaka

Any assessment should weigh political objectives, public resolve, financial costs, and the difficulty of sustaining pressure over time, not weapons alone.

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