Tinubu’s 2027 Re-election Plan Echoes Obasanjo’s Electoral Playbook

President Bola Tinubu has launched a wide-ranging review of his 2027 campaign strategy. He is weighing a major overhaul of his campaign machinery and restructuring INEC’s leadership to secure a second term. Confidential polls from respected firms suggest that, in a free and fair contest, opposition leader Peter Obi would lead comfortably. Atiku Abubakar follows in second place, with other contenders lagging further behind. Facing this gap, Tinubu’s team is crafting a plan centered on institutional capture. This approach draws on tactics first seen under Olusegun Obasanjo and later refined by Tinubu during his tenure in Lagos. It signals a reliance on controlling electoral institutions rather than purely winning the popular vote.

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