Trump’s Five-Day War Truce: A Strategy to Move Oil Prices?
Trump announced on social media that talks with Iran have been “very good and productive.” He said he would delay any U.S. strikes on Iranian energy sites for five days, pending the success of ongoing discussions. The message was posted on 23 March 2026. Every week, similar statements appear just before oil markets open. They seem designed to push prices down. In reality, no serious negotiations are happening, and Trump cannot reopen the Strait of Hormuz. An Iranian professor highlighted a clear pattern. Hints of ceasefire drop before market openings. Escalation threats surface after trading closes. Even the five-day pause aligns with energy futures settlements. The timing recalls past moves. Major strikes on Iran began early on a Saturday after markets closed. The same followed the operation in Venezuela in January. This looks more like market tactics than genuine diplomacy.
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