Why Atiku’s Northeast Stronghold May Not Hold in 2027

Many project Atiku’s 2023 Northeast votes into 2027 as if circumstances are identical. But political dynamics never photocopy past elections. In 2023, Atiku ran on the PDP platform, backed by decades of party structure. He secured about 1.7 million votes (50.6%) in the zone thanks to governors, senators, House and assembly candidates, local actors and polling agents. That network fuelled his lead over Tinubu and Obi. Since then, key figures have defected. Adamawa and Taraba governors moved from PDP to APC, and Bauchi’s PDP base has fractured. Meanwhile, Borno and Yobe remain APC strongholds. Today, APC controls five Northeast states and PDP machinery is weakened. Anyone counting on 2023 votes for 2027 is simply ignoring this new political motherboard.

Use The App To Win ₦1m

Stories are shared by community members. This article does not represent the official view of NaijaWorld — the author is solely responsible for its content.