Unpacking Tinubu’s Post-2023 Political Playbook

If you follow Nigerian politics closely, Tinubu’s strategy becomes clear. Since his inauguration, he has set his plan into motion. He anticipated losing the core Northern support that backed him in 2023. To guard against this, he secured the alignment of governors in the South and Middle Belt. He then viewed Obi as a major obstacle. He worked to frustrate Obi’s candidacy and keep him off the ballot, aiming to open room for massive rigging. When that did not succeed, he shifted tactics to stir voter apathy by arguing that “a vote for Obi” divides the opposition. That narrative is also losing traction. Now Nigerians wait to see his next move.

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