Why Running Mate History Doesn’t Guarantee a South-Easterner’s Presidential Victory

Buba Galadima’s review of past North–South-East alliances is accurate but sidesteps today’s key question. Serving as vice president is not the same as leading a presidential ticket. Historical alliances prove South-Eastern candidates have held second place, but they don’t show northern voters will back a South-Easterner for president. In 2022, Rabiu Kwankwaso himself argued northern electorates would struggle to choose a South-Easterner as their presidential candidate. Yet his assessment is now cast as a romantic tale of regional unity. History inspires a campaign, but history alone cannot deliver votes. Only the ballot box will confirm if Nigeria is ready for a South-Eastern president.

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